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ASX:RMD

Resmed CDI

Investment Summary

The fund managers at L1 Capital Long Short Fund believe that Resmed CDI remains a fundamentally strong business that is currently undervalued by the market. In their opinion, recent concerns surrounding the potential impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on sleep apnoea treatment volumes have been overstated. After conducting extensive due diligence, including consultations with more than 20 sleep physicians and distributors, the managers concluded that the risks posed by GLP-1s are manageable and do not materially alter Resmed’s long-term growth prospects. This view was further validated by Resmed’s own analysis, presented at the JP Morgan conference, which aligned with their initial assessment. The fund managers were also encouraged by the company’s recent Q2 earnings report, which demonstrated better-than-expected gross margin improvements and helped alleviate market fears. Despite a rebound in the share price, they believe Resmed continues to trade at a compelling valuation—more than 20% below its historical average forward P/E. In their view, this discount does not reflect the company’s strong market position, attractive industry dynamics, and the growing need for sleep apnoea treatment globally. As such, they see continued upside potential for the stock.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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Commentary From The Manager

L1 Capital

Date

31 Jan 2024

Price

$29.20

Medium

Monthly Report

Commentary

L1 Capital Long Short Fund has updated its investment thesis on Resmed CDI, following a strong share price performance in January. The company delivered better-than-expected gross margin results in its Q2 earnings, easing market concerns about the potential impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on demand for its sleep apnoea treatments. L1 Capital Long Short Fund established its position in Resmed in September 2023, following extensive consultations with over 20 sleep physicians and distributors, which supported the view that GLP-1 drugs would have a manageable impact on the business. This conviction was further reinforced by Resmed’s own analysis, presented at the JP Morgan conference in San Francisco, which aligned with the Fund’s initial assessment. Despite the recent rally, L1 Capital Long Short Fund notes that Resmed continues to trade at more than a 20% discount to its historical average forward P/E multiple, supporting the Fund’s view of the company’s continued valuation appeal.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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