
ASX:PNC
Pioneer Credit Ltd
Investment Summary
The fund managers believe Pioneer Credit Ltd represents a compelling, undervalued opportunity in the Australian credit space, particularly in a “higher for longer” interest rate environment. In their opinion, the company is well-positioned to benefit from rising delinquencies on small personal loans and credit cards, as economic pressures mount and borrowers come under strain. While Pioneer has a troubled past—stemming from a 2019 accounting misstep that led to a debt covenant breach—the fund managers view the current management team as focused and undistracted by ongoing legal proceedings with PwC. They note that Pioneer is actively rebuilding its position, recently raising $10 million in strategic capital (with participation from key shareholder Samuel Terry Asset Management) to fund the acquisition of additional Purchased Debt Portfolios (PDPs) at attractive internal rates of return. In their view, the business is executing well, having lifted investment guidance and working to secure improved financing terms from senior lender Nomura. If successful, the refinancing could significantly lower financing costs and materially boost earnings in FY25. The fund managers believe Pioneer is trading at a steep discount to peers like Credit Corp, and see strong upside potential as the company returns to profitability and investor confidence improves around its capital structure and earnings outlook.
Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed.
Commentary From The Manager
Cerutty Macro Fund
Date
30 Apr 2024
Price
$0.47
Medium
Monthly Report
Commentary
Cerutty Macro Fund continues to hold Pioneer Credit Ltd, viewing it as a compelling, undervalued opportunity in the Australian debt recovery sector—particularly well-suited to a higher-for-longer interest rate environment. As household delinquencies rise amid ongoing cost-of-living pressures, Cerutty sees Pioneer as a counter-cyclical asset, with upside tied to improved operating leverage and strategic execution. Despite its past accounting issues in 2019, which led to a covenant breach and significant reputational damage, Cerutty believes Pioneer has rebuilt trust, maintained focus, and is no longer weighed down by legacy issues—including its $32 million lawsuit against PwC, which is excluded from their valuation. The Fund recently participated in a $10 million capital raise, aimed at acquiring attractive new Purchased Debt Portfolios (PDPs) and strengthening the balance sheet. A key near-term catalyst is the anticipated refinancing of Pioneer’s senior debt with Nomura, expected to reduce annual interest costs by $8–11 million—potentially adding 6–8c EPS in FY25. If successful, Pioneer could deliver 8–10c EPS in FY25, implying ~4.5x forward earnings, a ~50% discount to peers like Credit Corp. Cerutty Macro Fund believes the market remains overly sceptical on the refinancing timeline and terms, and continues to back management’s ability to execute and unlock value.
Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed.