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ASX:PRU

Perseus Mining Ltd

Investment Summary

The fund managers believe Perseus Mining Ltd. is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing positive gold market conditions, which have been bolstered by strong central bank buying and a more favorable macroeconomic environment. In their opinion, the company's diversified operations across two countries—Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana—soon to be expanded into a third with the Nyanzaga project, help mitigate risks often associated with African gold mining, such as political instability. The fund managers are particularly confident in Perseus due to the strong leadership of CEO Jeff Quartermaine, whose extensive experience in the region has been pivotal to the company’s success. Additionally, they appreciate Perseus' solid financial position, with net cash and bullion of US$587 million, and its growth strategy, which is expected to increase gold production by over 15% by FY28. The fund managers also note that Perseus is poised to generate significant free cash flow, which supports its capital return initiatives, including a recently announced A$100 million share buyback. While there are risks, such as the potential development of the Meyas Sand project in Sudan, the fund managers view this as a high-risk, high-reward opportunity that could add substantial value, particularly with the support of Perseus' Saudi joint venture partners. Overall, they believe Perseus offers strong growth potential with a compelling risk/reward profile.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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Commentary From The Manager

Cerutty Macro Fund

Date

31 Aug 2024

Price

$2.51

Medium

Monthly Report

Commentary

Cerutty Macro Fund continues to hold Perseus Mining Ltd, reaffirming its confidence in the company as a well-positioned beneficiary of sustained strength in gold prices. Despite shifting macro correlations, gold has remained resilient—buoyed by persistent central bank demand—and Perseus stands out within the Fund’s broader basket of gold equities. The Fund highlights MD Jeff Quartermaine’s strong execution track record and believes the company’s diversification across West African jurisdictions (Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, with projects in Tanzania and Guinea) significantly mitigates regional risk. At a forward ~7x earnings and 3.3x EV/EBITDA, with US$587 million in net cash and bullion, Cerutty sees valuation support alongside strong fundamentals. Perseus is expected to grow production by over 15% by FY28, all while maintaining robust capital returns. A recently announced A$100 million buyback and existing dividend policy combine for an approximate 5% yield on FY24 numbers, with potential upside from additional projects such as the high-risk, high-reward Meyas Sand development in Sudan. While not central to the thesis, the Fund views this asset as a free option that could become meaningful with backing from Perseus’ Saudi JV partner. Overall, Cerutty sees Perseus as a compelling, cash-generative name with both solid fundamentals and strategic growth opportunities.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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