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LON:LIT

Litigation Capital Management Ltd

Investment Summary

The fund managers believe that Litigation Capital Management Ltd (LCM) is an attractive investment, particularly in uncertain times, due to its low correlation with general market conditions and its strong track record in funding litigation globally. LCM has achieved an exceptional internal rate of return (IRR) of approximately 77-78% per annum and boasts a high success rate in funded cases, winning almost 90% of them. They note that LCM's earnings are driven by court outcomes, such as the $500 million case win against the Polish Government, which is expected to generate substantial earnings for the company. Despite these strong fundamentals, the fund managers observe that LCM's shares are often undervalued by the market, resulting in a disconnect between the company's intrinsic value and its share price. This has prompted the company to initiate an on-market buyback program to support share price liquidity and enhance earnings per share for remaining shareholders. The fund managers also highlight the company's strategic move to London, which they believe has been beneficial for both its business operations and share price performance, despite initial skepticism from investors. Overall, they remain positive on LCM's growth prospects, especially as the company continues to secure high-quality cases and sees strong management alignment with shareholders.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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Commentary From The Manager

Collins St Asset Management

Date

31 Dec 2021

Price

$100.20

Medium

Quarterly Report

Commentary

Collins St Value Fund continues to hold Litigation Capital Management (LIT) due to the company's strong leadership and the positive impact of its strategic move to London. Although the relocation initially raised questions among investors, the decision has proven beneficial, allowing LIT to capitalize on London’s robust alternative investment market. Patrick Maloney, the company’s founder and major shareholder, has consistently demonstrated confidence in the business by increasing his personal stake, which has bolstered investor trust. Despite a recent 25% drop in the share price caused by staffing issues, Maloney and the Chairman took action by purchasing shares, signaling their continued belief in the company. This quick recovery in share price has reaffirmed the market’s confidence in the company’s future prospects. Given the company’s track record and the commitment of its management, Collins St Value Fund remains positive on LIT’s potential for growth and value creation.

Collins St Asset Management

Date

31 Mar 2024

Price

$108.00

Medium

Quarterly Report

Commentary

Collins St Value Fund continues to hold its investment in Litigation Capital Management Ltd, updating its investment thesis in response to the company’s latest strategic moves. With the Board collectively owning 20% of the company, Litigation Capital Management continues to demonstrate strong returns on invested capital, achieving an impressive internal rate of return of 78% on cases. While the company remains focused on identifying and funding high-quality legal cases, the Fund notes a disconnect between the company’s intrinsic value and its share price. In response, the Board has implemented an on-market buyback, providing liquidity for investors who may not fully appreciate the business while simultaneously enhancing earnings per share for remaining shareholders. Collins St Value Fund sees this strategy as a prudent approach to capital allocation, reinforcing confidence in the company’s long-term potential.

Collins St Asset Management

Date

30 Sept 2024

Price

$99.80

Medium

Quarterly Report

Commentary

Collins St Value Fund continues to hold Litigation Capital Management Ltd (LCM) as a key part of its portfolio, recognizing the company's strong performance and unique market position. With a 25-year track record of successfully funding litigation across Australia, Europe, and South-East Asia, LCM is expanding its presence in the U.S. The business boasts an impressive 90% case win rate and a 77% annualized internal rate of return (IRR), underpinned by earnings from court-directed outcomes that remain largely unaffected by broader market conditions. A recent example of LCM's success is its $500 million victory against the Polish Government, which is expected to generate $50 million in earnings. Collins St Value Fund believes that outcomes like these will drive continued outperformance, especially as many smaller cases are nearing completion and several larger cases remain underappreciated by the market. This combination of strong historical performance and a resilient business model in uncertain times makes LCM an attractive ongoing holding for the fund.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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