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ASX:LAU

Lindsay Australia Ltd

Investment Summary

The fund managers believe Lindsay Australia Ltd (LAU) represents an undervalued, defensive investment opportunity with meaningful growth prospects supported by favourable industry dynamics. In their opinion, the company is trading at a significant discount to both its historical valuation and that of its peers, despite having a solid earnings profile and positive growth outlook. The market’s current valuation, at under 8x forward earnings, appears overly conservative, especially given management’s guidance for FY24 EBITDA growth of 15–20% and further growth of over 10% expected in FY25. The fund managers view these forecasts as well-supported, citing recent developments in the Australian logistics sector—particularly the liquidation of a key competitor, Scott’s Refrigerated Logistics. In their opinion, Lindsay acted swiftly and strategically by acquiring $22.3 million in second-hand assets from the defunct business, positioning itself to capture additional market share. This move not only strengthens its leadership in the refrigerated transport segment but also enhances pricing power, which is particularly valuable in an inflationary environment. While Lindsay may not be viewed as a high-growth story, the fund managers see it as a resilient operator with upside potential and a compelling risk-reward profile at current valuation levels.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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Commentary From The Manager

Cerutty Macro Fund

Date

31 Oct 2023

Price

$0.97

Medium

Monthly Report

Commentary

Cerutty Macro Fund continues to hold Lindsay Australia Ltd (LAU), viewing it as a stable, earnings-generating business with defensive qualities and undervalued growth potential. Added to the portfolio in October, LAU may not represent a traditional high-growth story, but Cerutty Macro Fund believes the company is trading at a significant discount to fair value—currently on a forward earnings multiple of under 8x, compared to its historical average of ~12x and a peer group average of ~13.4x. Recent management guidance points to FY24 EBITDA growth of 15–20%, with further growth expected into FY25, supported by the integration of newly acquired assets. Cerutty Macro Fund also notes that industry developments have created strategic opportunities for Lindsay, particularly following the collapse of Scott’s Refrigerated Logistics. By acquiring $22.3 million in second-hand assets from the liquidated competitor, LAU is positioned to capture market share and strengthen its role as a leading refrigerated goods transporter in Australia. The fund believes this should enhance the company’s pricing power—especially important in an environment of persistent inflation—reinforcing its investment thesis.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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